Derby County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1947 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
DER
1 - 3
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
3 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
WOL
1 - 0
DER
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1947 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 1
BPO
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
BBU
4 - 0
GRI
47%
22%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
3 - 0
HUR
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
GRI
1 - 0
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1947 |
HUR
5 - 1
GRI
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |