Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
WAT
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
DER
2 - 0
SOU
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
DER
0 - 2
QPR
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
CHL
1 - 0
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHA
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
1 - 1
EVE
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1988 |
COV
1 - 2
EVE
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
EVE
2 - 1
OPA
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
WHU
0 - 0
EVE
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |