Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1971 |
DER
0 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
MUD
1 - 2
DER
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1971 |
TOT
2 - 1
DER
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
DER
3 - 2
HUR
67%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
DER
1 - 2
NTT
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1971 |
EVE
3 - 0
COV
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 2
WOL
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1971 |
IPS
0 - 0
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
MAC
3 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
EVE
0 - 1
WHU
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |