Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
OPA
2 - 2
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1951 |
SHW
4 - 3
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
DER
1 - 0
CHL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
DER
6 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
EVE
1 - 1
WOL
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
TOT
3 - 0
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
EVE
0 - 0
SHW
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |