Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
WBA
1 - 0
DER
37%
24%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
DER
3 - 1
WBA
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
DER
0 - 0
BPO
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
0 - 0
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 0
BPO
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 2
WBA
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |