Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
CHL
1 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1947 |
BUR
0 - 2
DER
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
DER
0 - 0
HUR
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1947 |
OPA
1 - 2
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
EVE
1 - 2
BPO
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
BBU
2 - 3
EVE
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1947 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |