Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
STO
8 - 1
DER
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1937 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
DER
2 - 2
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1937 |
DER
1 - 2
WOL
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
LEI
0 - 0
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
EVE
3 - 0
BRE
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1937 |
EVE
4 - 1
MAC
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
BPO
1 - 0
EVE
39%
22%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
67%
17%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
EVE
1 - 4
ARS
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |