Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
LIV
3 - 0
DER
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
69%
18%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
DER
0 - 0
BRA
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 1
DER
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
EVE
3 - 0
SHE
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |