Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
SUN
1 - 0
DER
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
DER
2 - 3
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
BRA
0 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
DER
2 - 4
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
DER
4 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
EVE
5 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 4
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 2
EVE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |