Derby County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 0
DER
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
DER
1 - 0
SHW
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
DER
1 - 1
BIR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 0
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 0
DER
89%
8%
4%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 1
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
BIR
1 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 1
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |