Derby County vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
DER
0 - 4
REA
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BBU
3 - 1
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
DER
2 - 6
ARS
11%
21%
68%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WHU
2 - 1
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DER
0 - 6
ASV
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
DON
1 - 0
LEE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
DON
5 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 0
DON
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 1
DON
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DON
2 - 0
LUT
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |