Derby County vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
WBA
1 - 0
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
DER
2 - 1
IPS
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
DER
1 - 0
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LUT
0 - 2
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CRY
1 - 3
COL
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CRY
3 - 0
QPR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 1
CRY
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PNE
0 - 0
CRY
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CRY
2 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |