Derby County vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
NTT
1 - 3
DER
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
DER
3 - 0
WHU
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 2
DER
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
DER
3 - 2
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
WOL
1 - 1
CRY
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
CRY
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
CRY
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
LEE
2 - 0
CRY
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
CRY
0 - 2
SHW
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |