Derby County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 2
DER
30%
27%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
DER
3 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
DER
1 - 1
QPR
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 0
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
COV
0 - 1
QPR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
3 - 0
COV
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
COV
4 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
COV
2 - 1
WOL
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
COL
0 - 0
COV
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |