Derby County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
LEI
4 - 2
DER
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
DER
2 - 2
SHW
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
DER
1 - 0
WHU
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
DER
0 - 1
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
LEE
0 - 0
DER
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
COV
0 - 0
EVE
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ASV
2 - 1
COV
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
BBU
1 - 2
COV
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1997 |
WOK
1 - 2
COV
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
SHW
0 - 0
COV
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |