Derby County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 2
DER
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
DER
2 - 3
TOT
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
DER
2 - 0
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
LEI
2 - 1
DER
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
DER
3 - 2
SHE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
IPS
1 - 1
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
COV
1 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
COV
2 - 2
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1975 |
WOL
0 - 1
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1975 |
COV
1 - 2
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |