Derby County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
HUR
0 - 0
DER
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
DER
2 - 0
IPS
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
DER
2 - 0
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1970 |
WOL
2 - 4
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
TOT
1 - 0
COV
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1970 |
COV
0 - 1
WOL
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
COV
1 - 0
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1970 |
IPS
0 - 2
COV
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1970 |
NTT
2 - 0
COV
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |