Derby County vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
DER
2 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
SHW
1 - 0
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
DER
5 - 0
TOT
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
DER
3 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
ARS
0 - 1
COV
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
COV
1 - 2
LEE
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
MAC
3 - 1
COV
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
COV
3 - 2
NTT
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
COV
2 - 2
CRY
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |