Derby County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
QPR
1 - 0
DER
35%
24%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
DER
3 - 0
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1970 |
DER
1 - 0
SHW
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1970 |
TOT
2 - 1
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
CRY
1 - 4
CHL
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 3
CHL
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1970 |
ARS
0 - 3
CHL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 5
LEE
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |