Derby County vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1988 |
TOT
0 - 0
DER
77%
15%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
DER
1 - 0
WHU
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1988 |
DER
1 - 2
MUD
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
OPA
2 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
ARS
4 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
CHA
3 - 1
SHW
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
CHA
1 - 1
WIM
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
QPR
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 2
LIV
17%
27%
56%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |