Derby County vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
MAC
2 - 2
DER
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
DER
2 - 0
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
WBA
1 - 0
DER
37%
24%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
DER
3 - 1
WBA
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 0
BIR
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 0
STO
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
CHA
1 - 4
ASV
49%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |