Derby County vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 2
DER
54%
21%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1948 |
DER
0 - 4
LIV
62%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
DER
1 - 0
BPO
62%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
BBU
0 - 0
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
CHA
0 - 0
HUR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |