Derby County vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1928 |
DER
5 - 0
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
EVE
2 - 2
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
DER
0 - 0
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
DER
2 - 1
SHE
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 5
WHU
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 0
LEI
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1928 |
TOT
1 - 0
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |