Derby County vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2002 |
DER
0 - 1
FUL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
BBU
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
WHU
4 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
DER
3 - 1
ASV
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
BRO
1 - 0
DAR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
BRO
5 - 3
LEY
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
SWA
2 - 1
BRO
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
BRO
3 - 2
PLY
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |