Derby County vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1947 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1947 |
BBU
1 - 1
DER
33%
22%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
BPO
2 - 1
DER
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
DER
3 - 0
STO
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 0
DER
53%
21%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1947 |
PNE
5 - 2
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
BRE
4 - 1
WOL
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
HUR
3 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
BBU
0 - 3
BRE
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |