Derby County vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
DER
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 1
DER
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
DER
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 0
BRA
71%
16%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 1
BBU
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
MID
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
BRA
3 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |