Derby County vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 2
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
DER
0 - 1
BBU
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
BBU
2 - 0
DER
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
DER
0 - 1
MID
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 2
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |