Derby County vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1913 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
DER
3 - 5
SHE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
DER
1 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 1
SHE
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1913 |
BRA
0 - 0
PNE
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
BRA
0 - 0
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 0
BRA
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |