Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
DER
4 - 0
HUL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 3
DER
24%
25%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
QPR
2 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 1
BOL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 1
REA
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
6 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 2
PNE
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 2
IPS
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |