Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
PNE
3 - 0
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1952 |
DER
4 - 0
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
DER
3 - 2
LIV
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
WBA
0 - 1
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 2
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 1
SHW
55%
21%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
TOT
1 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 2
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |