Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
HUR
6 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
DER
5 - 1
WHU
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
SHW
3 - 1
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
BOL
3 - 1
BBU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
BOL
3 - 1
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 0
WBA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |