Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
SHE
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
SHW
1 - 1
DER
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
SHE
2 - 1
BOL
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
BOL
0 - 0
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
LIV
0 - 2
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |