Derby County vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
DER
0 - 0
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
DER
0 - 2
LEE
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
DER
1 - 2
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
LEE
3 - 1
BPO
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
BPO
0 - 1
ARS
23%
28%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
WHU
2 - 1
BPO
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BPO
3 - 4
CHL
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
BPO
2 - 2
HUR
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |