Derby County vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
DER
1 - 3
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
CHL
0 - 1
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
DER
4 - 2
STO
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
DER
1 - 3
WOL
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
BPO
0 - 3
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1951 |
BPO
0 - 3
PNE
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
SUN
1 - 3
BPO
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
3 - 1
BPO
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
BPO
3 - 2
WOL
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |