Derby County vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
BPO
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
DER
5 - 0
QPR
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1948 |
BPO
3 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1948 |
BPO
2 - 2
DER
50%
22%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 0
BPO
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1948 |
BPO
3 - 1
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
OPA
1 - 1
BPO
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |