Derby County vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
DER
5 - 0
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 1
DER
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1938 |
HUR
3 - 0
DER
46%
23%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
3 - 1
GRI
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
4 - 1
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
2 - 4
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
WOL
1 - 1
BPO
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |