Derby County vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
3 - 0
DER
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1938 |
DER
4 - 1
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
DER
1 - 7
MAC
56%
20%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 2
DER
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
SUN
2 - 0
DER
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
BPO
0 - 0
SUN
37%
24%
38%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
LEI
0 - 1
BPO
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1938 |
BPO
0 - 2
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
EVE
3 - 1
BPO
75%
14%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
BPO
4 - 0
HUR
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |