Derby County vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
BPO
1 - 0
DER
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
WHU
0 - 1
DER
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
BPO
0 - 4
SHW
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
BPO
1 - 0
DER
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 1
BPO
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BPO
5 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
NEW
0 - 2
BPO
71%
15%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |