Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DER
0 - 2
WBA
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DER
1 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BPO
2 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
POS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BBU
1 - 3
EVE
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 1
BBU
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BBU
1 - 1
CRY
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
BBU
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WAT
4 - 0
BBU
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |