Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
17%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
1 - 0
DER
56%
21%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
DER
4 - 1
HUR
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 1
DER
36%
24%
41%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
DER
6 - 2
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
MID
4 - 1
DER
47%
23%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
1 - 0
DER
56%
21%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
5 - 2
SHW
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
MID
4 - 1
BBU
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
4 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 3
BBU
54%
20%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |