Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
DER
4 - 6
SHW
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
CAR
4 - 4
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
DER
0 - 3
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
HUR
2 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
DER
1 - 1
TOT
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
BBU
0 - 0
SUN
51%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
ASV
2 - 0
BBU
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
BBU
1 - 0
WHU
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 2
BBU
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |