Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
BBU
2 - 0
DER
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 1
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
SHW
2 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
DER
2 - 1
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1919 |
BBU
4 - 1
BRA
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
BBU
2 - 0
DER
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
BBU
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
BBU
1 - 4
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
MAC
8 - 2
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |