Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
WBA
2 - 0
DER
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
MID
4 - 1
DER
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
DER
1 - 0
LIN
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
DER
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 4
MUD
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1907 |
TOT
2 - 1
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
BOL
5 - 2
BBU
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1907 |
TOT
1 - 1
BBU
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 1
TOT
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |