Derby County vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 1
DER
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
2 - 0
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
24%
24%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
NTT
3 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LEE
2 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOL
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
IPS
1 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |