Derby County vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
DER
1 - 3
DON
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
HUL
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 0
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
LEI
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
LEE
3 - 3
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
IPS
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LEI
4 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |