Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-3
RC Deportivo vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 0
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
DEP
2 - 2
LLE
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
UDL
2 - 0
DEP
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
DEP
0 - 3
FCB
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ATH
4 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 0
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
DEP
2 - 2
LLE
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
MLL
0 - 0
LLE
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
LLE
2 - 0
ALG
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
LEV
3 - 3
LLE
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |