UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 3-5
RC Deportivo vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 2
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
DEP
2 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
SLA
0 - 3
DEP
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 0
SLA
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
BUD
2 - 1
DEP
20%
28%
52%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 0
LAZ
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
GIR
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |