Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
RC Deportivo vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
2 - 2
BET
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 2
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
4 - 1
DEP
50%
24%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 0
MUR
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MLL
4 - 2
DEP
31%
26%
44%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
15%
26%
59%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 2
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
4 - 1
DEP
50%
24%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 3
ACM
55%
24%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |