Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 7-1
RC Deportivo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CAS
1 - 1
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
DEP
1 - 0
ALA
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
CCF
2 - 2
DEP
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
DEP
0 - 1
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
GDE
2 - 3
DEP
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
LUG
1 - 1
EUM
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ARO
0 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
LUG
1 - 1
ARO
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
VER
1 - 2
LUG
28%
29%
43%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
LUG
4 - 2
LAL
72%
19%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |