Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-1
RC Deportivo vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
DEP
2 - 0
RMA
37%
24%
39%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 1
VAD
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 0
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |